Las Vegas gaming magnate Stephen Wynn's gamble that punters in Hong Kong, Macau
and further afield would happily throw cash at shares in his Wynn Macau casino
unit - and help pull his parent company back from a financial dark hole - has
paid off hugely for all parties, with the stock surging on its trading debut on
the Hong Kong exchange.
Wynn Macau earlier raised
US$1.63 billion by selling a 25% stake in the
Macau business, which has 600 hotel rooms, 380
gaming tables and 1,230 slot machines.
The shares, sold at HK$10.08 each, the high end
of an indicated range, then rose as much as 13% on
Friday before closing the day up 6.9% at
HK$10.78
Wynn, whose gambling operations are the fourth-largest in Macau, decided to
list the unit as parent Wynn Resorts' revenue
tumbled in the United States amid the global financial crisis. Earnings at Wynn
Resorts have fallen for the past two years as fewer visitors showed up to spend
at Las Vegas casinos and hotels. In contrast, earnings from Macau, the world's
biggest gambling center, rose 48% to HK$2 billion last year, according to the
company. The city contributed 57% of Wynn's second-quarter revenue.
Doubts have shrouded the wisdom of Wynn's gamble since his plans became public
earlier this year. By early August, optimism over "green shoots" of a global
economic recovery was beginning to wear thin, and a near five-month surge in
stock markets since March looked to have run its course. In the immediate
run-up to the Wynn Macau IPO, a string of Hong Kong listings had performed
poorly by local standards.
Shares in state-owned Metallurgical Corporation of China, which raised HK$18.2
billion in the biggest initial public offering in Hong Kong to date this year,
slumped more than 11% on their September 24 trading debut. By mid-day in Hong
Kong on Friday, they were 13% below the offer price.
Others did little better in the wake of the Metallurgical listing, with
menswear brand China Lilang, sports shoe maker Peak Sport Products and Shanghai
developer Glorious Property Holdings all declining on their first trading day.
As recently as October 6,
China Resources Cement Holdings (CRC), the biggest
producer of the product in the heavily
industrialized south of the country, fell 4.4% on
its debut before easing back up to close at its
offer price ofHK$3.90.
CRC's pricing was 25 times its expected 2009 earnings
per share (EPS).
The outlook started to turn this week, when the Australian government, the
country's economy bolstered by strong sales to China of commodities such as
iron ore, unexpectedly raised interest rates, the first leading economy to do
so since the financial crisis struck. The move, signaling official optimism in
the prospects for economic recovery, gave a boost to stock markets around the
world, with new shares in Hong Kong among those benefiting.
In a string of trading debuts
on Thursday, leading industrial gas supplier
Yingde Gases Group gained 12% and China Vanadium
Titano-Magnetite Mining rose 5.1%. Smaller
Ausnutria Dairy Corp jumped 28% while Jiangchen
International Holdings, an apparel manufacturer
that raised a mere HK$33 million with its IPO, saw
the value of its stock surge more than 400% before
closing Thursday up 110%
Thomas Ng, investment
strategist at Quam Securities
Company, attributed the share strength of
the new listings to the rising stock market
in the United States and the increase in
Australia's benchmark interest rate and also the
low pricing by the most recent share offerings.
"The interest rate
hike has indicated that the serious economic
downturn has passed, which moved the stock market
in Hong Kong by improving the sentiment," he
said.
The table was set for Stephen Wynn's throw of the dice, and while at
30 times prospective earnings the Wynn Macau share price was considered "quite
aggressive" and not worth it, according to Ng, other factors had
been moving in the 67-year-old magnate's favor.
Late last month, Reuters news agency reported that Chinese citizens traveling
to Macau from neighboring Guangdong province are having an easier time
obtaining visas. New rules issued by Chinese authorities last year limited them
to two trips a year. "The latest version is [they can travel to Macau] once a
month out of Guangdong," an unnamed casino executive told the news agency.
"Gaming revenues for the first two weeks of the month have been good."
Macau reported a 53% rise in gross gaming revenue in September, the third
straight monthly increase.
Even so, while Wynn Macau's stock, for now, appears to have been a good bet,
the longer term may not be so good for new investors who don't cash in price
gains. Wynn Macau's single casino operation faces tough competition from its
five rivals, three of them larger, in the former Portuguese enclave, while
bad-debt provisions by parent Wynn Resort may be shared with the Macau unit.
Nasdaq-listed Wynn Resorts made a special US$22 million provision for doubtful
accounts during the third quarter as debts owned by players turn bad amid the
global economic downturn.
"Part of the provision for bad debts would be offered by Wynn Macau, which will
affect its prospects," Ng said.
Still, Wynn got to the market ahead of rival Sheldon Adelson, operator of Las
Vegas Sands (LVS), who has indicated plans to raise at least US$2 billion -
with some reports suggesting US$4 billion - selling shares in Hong Kong with a
listing of his Macau interests. LVS owns the Sands, the Venetian and the Four
Seasons properties in Macau and had to suspend construction in the US$12
billion Cotai strip in Macau last November as global credit markets dried up,
axing about 11,000 workers.
Adelson is also committed to the US$5.5 billion Marina Bay Sands resort and
gambling complex in Singapore, due to open next year. He will hoping his luck
holds as well as Wynn's. The stakes are certainly high enough.
Olivia Chung is a senior Asia Times Online reporter.
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