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Debunking the 'brain drain' myths
By Siddharth Srivastava

NEW DELHI - For long, developing countries have bemoaned the flight of their most talented manpower to Western shores in search of better employment, income, living and working environments. The phenomenon of the best and brightest heading overseas has found popular coinage in the term "brain drain", which has a negative connotation for the home country. In a finding that reverses this long-held view, the United Nations Economic and Social Survey, released this month, says migration benefits both destination and host countries. It also says that fears of migrants taking away jobs or reducing wage rates in the host country aren't valid either, because migrants expand the demand for goods and services, add to the growth of the economy and contribute more to the economy than they take away from it.

According to the survey, migrants are bigger contributors to capital inflows in their home countries than official development assistance (ODA) from the developed world, with the figure of US$79 billion in remittances to developing countries last year exceeding the ODA in the same year. Overseas migrants are also major investors in their home countries, examples being the Chinese diaspora that contributes more than 70% of the net foreign direct investment inflows to China; and expatriate African technology workers that are supporting high-tech start-ups in sub-Saharan Africa, via a program linked with the UN Information and Communications Technologies Task Force.

The survey says that 175 million people around the world are living away from their home countries, and an organized and calibrated migration across borders could turn out to be good for both the sending and receiving nations. Studies of the economic impact of migration indicate "no significant" decline in wages and employment rates in the host country. Overall migrant remittances have grown alongside the rise in international migrants, and are estimated to have reached $130 billion in 2000, compared with about $55 billion in ODA. In October this year, both the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank predicted that migrant earnings transferred to home countries will soon rise to more than $150 billion annually.

The price paid by countries of origin is most of all in lost innovation and creativity. The countries of origin also have to part with a percentage of return on their investment in education, estimated at $640 million a year for emigrants to the United States alone. In addition, workers abroad do not pay income taxes in their home countries, an estimated revenue loss to India, for example, of $700 million in 2000.

But these emigration-related losses tend to be offset by positive effects. These include an inflow of remittances, lowering unemployment in home countries, investment in home countries and the knowledge and skills that return migrants bring with them, along with overseas migrants being major investors in their home countries.

The survey notes that migration's positive impact on the developed world is accentuated by its low or declining birthrates. While one in 35 people in the world is an international migrant, the figure rises to one in 12 for developed countries. The UN projects that without migration, the population of the developed world would fall from 1.2 billion in 2000 to only a billion by 2050, with immigration expected to counteract this population decrease. A drastic decline in population could negatively impact the existence of pension systems and support ratios - the ratio of people who have to be supported to the number of people supporting them. Europe's population will continue to decline, and the US population will only modestly increase by the middle of the century. But between 2000 and 2050, the world population will increase by nearly 3 billion, with six countries - China, Indonesia, India, Pakistan, Nigeria and Bangladesh - accounting for more than half of that growth.

However, the survey says that the international community "lacks a comprehensive international framework beyond existing conventions and protocols that addresses the wide range of issues pertaining to international migration. Migration is a global and transnational phenomenon involving various parties with differing perspectives and interests. It therefore calls for a global approach and global framework." Migration inflows to developed countries are less than in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, with growth since the 1960s more gradual than that of international finance flows and trade.

The study notes: "The number of governments adopting measures to restrict migration has increased significantly in recent decades: in 2003, one-third of all countries had policies to lower immigration, compared with only 7% in 1976."

Rising migrant earnings and the transfer of technology and investments - mostly from advanced to poorer nations - have been offset by social disruptions, broken families and the exploitation and abuse of migrant workers. "This is only to be expected," UN Secretary General Kofi Annan says in a preface to the study. "After all, migration brings with it many complex challenges - including issues of human rights and economic opportunity, of labor shortages and unemployment, of brain drain and brain gain, of multiculturalism and integration, of refugee flows and asylum seekers, of law enforcement and human trafficking, of human security and national security."

But the study argues that without the inflow of migrants, Europe would have experienced a population decline between 1995 and 2000. Even with about 5 million immigrants having arrived in this period, the continent's population grew by only 600,000. "Migrants move today predominantly from developing to developed countries, but the need for migrant labor is also present in some developing countries, including the newly industrializing economies of Southeast Asia and the oil-rich countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates)," adds the report.

Thus the survey concludes that migration remains one of the last frontiers of globalization. "For the past 50 years, governments all over the world have undertaken various liberalization measures in the areas of goods, services and capital, multilaterally and unilaterally," said UN undersecretary general for economic and social affairs Jose Antonio Ocampo. "The basic premise of such policies is to maximize economic efficiency at the national and global levels. Yet the current international movement of people is largely shaped by restrictive migration laws and policies."

Joseph Chamie, director of the UN's population division, is quoted as saying that since September 11, 2001, security concerns have made migration to developed countries increasingly difficult. "We have competing interests. Employers are often very eager to have increased migration for their firms, for their labor force, governments are often very interested in bringing in people to meet the needs of the private sector as well as undertake activities that others may not want to do such as picking crops or grapes or fruits," he said. "On the other hand, the public may have a very different view because they may see people coming in who are different, their habits are different and these are challenges the governments will have to deal with."

Chamie added that migration has always been central to globalization. "This migration flow is nothing new. It has been going on for thousands of years. People have been redistributing themselves all over the globe. From the very beginning of humanity, you have seen people move looking for ways to improve their livelihood and benefit themselves. We have seen them move across continents, across large bodies of water," said Chamie. "It is just recently, the last several hundred years, that we have had governments and borders formalizing this process. Now the challenge is how to make that a win-win situation for all concerned, rather than a lose-lose situation where everyone loses out - the migrants, the receiving countries, the sending countries, the transit countries."

Siddharth Srivastava is a New Delhi-based journalist.

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Dec 21, 2004
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