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    Middle East
     Apr 29, 2008
Page 2 of 2
Syria bristles at US charges
By Sami Moubayed

North Koreans strongly objected to the accusations, and harshly condemned the Israeli attack on Syria. The Syrians claimed these accusations were fabricated by Washington for political reasons, mainly targeting Pyongyang rather than Damascus.

The international media were busy justifying the attack - aggression on a sovereign state - rather than condemning it. The North Korea story started when Andrew Semmel of the US Department of State claimed Syria "might have" obtained nuclear equipment and noting "there are North Korean people there [in Syria]. There is no question about that."

Originally in 2004, it was rumored that the Pakistani scientist

 

Abdul Qadir Khan, who provided gas centrifuges and uranium hexafluoride to North Korea, operated from Syria. No evidence was ever provided that the Khan network worked in Syria, and several people at the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) were quoted saying they had no information in that regard. Bolton, then under secretary for arms control, trumpeted the accusations against Syria. Mohammad ElBaradei, the head of the IAEA, was brought on board, and in June 2004 said, "We haven't gotten any piece of information on why we should be concerned about Syria."
Journalists in the US jumped on the story, claiming that Kim Jong-il was hiding his weapons in Syria; forgetting that the North Koreans trusted nobody- certainly not the Syrians, with their nuclear technology. Some newspapers in the US said that days before the attack on Syria, North Korean material labeled as "cement" had unloaded in Syria. This material was supposedly nuclear equipment. Joseph Cirincione, author of Bomb Scare: The history and future of Nuclear Weapons and senior fellow and director of nuclear policy at the Center for American Progress, noted, "This story is nonsense!" Syria's ambassador to Washington Imad Mustapha labeled it as "ridiculous".

This time, although many analysts were skeptical of the American "evidence" (all citing the faulty information used by Collin Powell, the US secretary of state, to justify the invasion of Iraq in 2003), the IAEA said it "deplores the fact" that Washington had been silent about the suspected nuclear site in Syria.

Why had the Americans kept their silence for six months? The IAEA was equally critical of Israel for bombing the site before inspectors could investigate the intelligence report's authenticity. In terms of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), to which Syria is a signatory, the Vienna-based IAEA should be informed of such findings and it alone has the authority to inspect suspected nuclear sites.

The IAEA added, "Under the NPT, the agency has a responsibility to verify any proliferation allegations in a non-nuclear weapon state party to the NPT." It must be noted that Israel has not signed the NPT, while North Korea did, then violated the agreement, and withdrew. Syria has repeatedly complained about Israel's own nuclear program and refused to sign "additional protocols of inspection" by the IAEA (which are voluntary) until Israel signs the NPT.

Rising to the defense of Syria was Scott Ritter, the famous chief UN inspector in Iraq from 1991-1998, who gave the Iraqis a clean bill of health with regard to WMDs in 2003 and has been very critical of the US decision to invade Baghdad on faulty intelligence. Ritter wrote, "Even if the US intelligence is accurate ... Syria had committed no crime, and Israel had no legal justification to carry out its attack."

Bound by the NPT, Syria is required to provide information "as early as possible before nuclear material is introduced to a new facility". There is no evidence, however, that Syria had reached - or even intended to reach - that stage when the Israeli planes flew into its airspace. Ritter adds, "While vexing, the Syrian position is totally in keeping with its treaty obligations, and so it is Syria, not Israel, that was in full conformity with international law at the time of Israel's September 6, 2007 attack."

The IAEA will investigate the latest US allegations, saying, "We will treat this information with the seriousness it deserves and will investigate the veracity of the information." Syria, seemingly very confident, has shown no objection, upholding its commitments to the NPT.

Speaking to the Qatari daily al-Watan, Assad downplayed the accusations, saying: "Is it possible that there is a nuclear site [in Syria] that is not guarded by anti-aircraft guns? A nuclear site? Watched by satellite? In the middle of Syria? In the desert? And in open space?! How can there be a nuclear site when satellites monitor ever single meter that you build? They are searching for an alibi."

He added that neither the Israelis nor the US knew what the site that was hit in September 2007 actually was, noting, "They hit a site that was empty!" When asked how Syria would respond, both to the actual air invasion and the US accusations, he said, "A response doesn't have to be a missile for a missile. Or a bomb for a bomb. Or a bullet for a bullet. In reality we have ways with which we can respond; they understand what we mean."

In addition to Powell's story at the UN, another has surfaced regarding US intelligence over North Korea's nuclear activities. In 1998, US intelligence obtained images of a project at Kumchang-ri (northwest of Yongbyon), and claimed this to be a nuclear facility. Kim Yong-il agreed, under pressure, to allow inspection of the site, in exchange for aid in building a new potato factory in North Korea. Inspectors found nothing, prompting Robert Carlin, a North Korea expert at the CIA, to note the "endemic weakness" in US intelligence.

The Americans, therefore, got it wrong on North Korea in 1998. They got it wrong on Iraq in 2002-2003. They got it wrong on Lebanon in 2006, during the Israeli war on Hezbollah, and again in 2007, when they believed Syria was behind the Sunni fundamentalists at Naher al-Bared. There is no evidence to prove that they have it right this time, on Syria in 2008.

But if they want to push through with such a story - as in the case with the WMDs of Iraq - in what remains of George W Bush's term at the White House, then nothing in the world can prevent them from doing so. It would not really matter whether Syria is innocent; this would fall neatly in line with everything that has happened between Syria and the US since 2003.

British writer Hector Hugh Munro, known by his pen name Saki, once said, "A little inaccuracy sometimes saves a lot of explanations." That probably best sums up why Israeli planes invaded Syrian airspace, with the approval of the United States, and fired at certain targets within Syria.

Sami Moubayed is a Syrian political analyst.

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