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India cold to hot money
By Jayanthi Iyengar

PUNE - Despite the Bombay Stock Exchange index (Sensex) touching an all-time high this week, the romance between India and foreign funds seems to have only begun. The stock-market regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), now proposes to give a fresh impetus to growth by opening up the Indian equities segment to real estate mutual funds.

Indicating the Indian regulator's plans, SEBI chairman G N Bajpai said at a recent seminar in Mumbai that the body is "close to finalizing these norms". The SEBI chief also stated that the regulator was in the process of fine-tuning the norms for allowing less broad-based hedge funds to invest directly in India. Simultaneously, the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) has been pushing for the opening up of commodity derivatives to the industry. "The industry needs investment options outside equity and debt," said A P Kurien, AMFI chairman.

Such "official" statements have deepened the interest of foreign funds in India, with several new ones eyeing the country and several other who had left earlier considering re-entry. According to Bajpai, over 100 new foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have registered with the regulator in 2004 alone, accounting roughly for one-fifth of all FIIs registered in India. Given this influx, other reputed foreign funds such as the Vanguard group, Capital International, UBS Warburg and BNP Paribas are also keenly watching India. "With global giants like Fidelity entering the Indian market, others cannot be far behind," said Kurien. His views are echoed by experts like Naina Lal Kidwai, deputy chief executive officer of HSBC's India Area Management Office. She maintains that the Indian capital markets are safer than ever before and that while there is room for improvement, "they are equal to the international best".

The impetus to open up
The regulator's pronouncements are based on the demand from the major players in the mutual funds space who have been pushing for wider investment opportunities. Thus when SBI Mutual Fund recently filed its prospectus with SEBI for its Magnum Commodity Fund, it sought permission to invest in commodity futures. However, since the norms are still not in place, the SBIMF has had to reconcile itself to investing in the stocks of companies that deal in commodities. The same is the case with real estate, where the industry would like the regulator to allow it to invest directly instead of limiting its options just to the stock of real estate companies.

SEBI is inclined to open up the commodities and real estate sector to the mutual funds industry as it will broaden these firms' investment options as well as make foreign funds available for the development of these segments. However, allowing hedge funds to invest in India is another matter. While SEBI is inclined to do so, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Finance Ministry would like to tread cautiously. Though Bajpai made public his intent to open up the Indian stock market to foreign hedge funds in early December, he was overruled a week later by the High-Level Committee on Capital Markets headed by the RBI governor. This committee is also comprised of the finance secretary and the SEBI chairman. Sources in the know of the proceedings of the closed-door meeting said the committee felt that the time was not right yet for opening up the markets to hedge funds.

Market access
Currently, SEBI norms do not recognize hedge funds as a separate category of investors. An expert committee that went into the issue of opening up the Indian capital markets to foreign hedge funds in 2003 had stated, "There is no exact definition of the term 'hedge fund'; it is perhaps undefined in any securities laws ... Hedge funds are unregistered private investment partnerships, funds or pools that may invest and trade in many different markets, strategies and instruments (including securities, non-securities and derivatives) and are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds."

SEBI norms at present allow only foreign investors who meet the following criteria to invest in India:
  • The foreign investor has to be an institutional and not an individual investor.
  • The foreign institutional investor has to be registered in its home country.
  • Each fund must have at least 50 members.

    This means that only broad-based foreign funds that are regulated in their home countries by the respective regulators are allowed to invest in India. Foreigners cannot invest directly in India though they could gain entry using the mutual fund route. Hedge funds are closer to individual investors in structure than the broad-based funds governed by investment norms and are answerable to a larger number of investors. Hedge funds represent the pooled investment of a few high net-worth individuals that is managed by professional managers. They are dreaded because unlike the broad-based funds, they have the flexibility to enter and exit from markets at will, paying scant attention to the havoc they wreak in the process. Hedge funds have also come for additional scrutiny in recent years as they represent both legitimate and dirty money, providing a front to drug-dealers, weapons-traders, terrorists and their ilk to launder funds through cross-border investments.

    India and hedge funds
    Since India has been categorical in its disapproval of hedge funds investing directly in the country, traders such as George Soros have invested here through broad-based funds. But recent developments in the Indian stock market have proved that it is possible to beat these norms. SEBI investigations in the last securities market scam showed that though hedge funds were barred from investing in the Indian stock market, they had been reaping profits all the same through the participatory-note (PN) route. This was made possible by handing over their funds to the registered FIIs to manage. The FIIs issued PNs against the sum managed, which was invested in Indian stock.

    What is interesting about this structure is that since these are private funds managed through the sub-accounts of FIIs, the names of the investors are confidential. Also, it is difficult to estimate what quantum of money has found its way into the Indian stock market by this route though according to one estimate, the net hedge-fund investment in India stands at about $2 billion (Rs88 billion) while more than Rs30 billion was repatriated back by the hedge funds as capital gains during the peak of the securities scam of 2001.

    After that scam, SEBI barred unregistered hedge funds from investing in India through the PN route. But SEBI has been consistently arguing that since these funds are investing in India all the same, it is better to recognize them as a separate category of foreign investors and subject them to regulations in India. Instead of guesstimates, accurate statistics would also be available on the activity of hedge funds if this were to be done. The other Indian regulators, however, have not bought the argument. Part of the reason is the fear of hedge funds and their destabilizing influence on the currencies of countries where they operate. After the East Asian meltdown, then Malaysian prime minister Mahathir Mohamad blamed Soros for undermining the ringgit and weakening Malaysia's economy by his recklessness. India has always prided itself on its ability to insulate itself from external crises such as the East Asian one by adopting a cautious approach to foreign exchange management. "Hence we are not in a hurry to open the floodgates to hedge funds yet," said an RBI official.

    Further, India also follows an external-debt management policy that is aimed at gradually bringing down the stock of foreign currency debt as well as reducing the proportion of short-term foreign-currency debts to long-term ones. With the net FII inflows in 2004-05 already touching an all-time high of about $6.6 billion, the government is wary of adopting measures that would increase its stock of short-term foreign-currency debt further. "It is better to woo the more stable foreign direct investments," said a Finance Ministry official.

    The timing also seems to be wrong in other ways. Kirit Somaiya, parliamentarian and president of the Investor's Grievance Forum, who has been fighting for long for better stock market regulations and has been leading the attack on speculative FII investments in India, has been opposed to any move that would compromise the interests of minority shareholders. "The safety of the markets is the prime duty of a regulator. It is the regulator's duty to keep an eye on whether the money flowing into the stock markets is coming from co-operative banks, foreign institutional investors, NRIs [non-resident Indians] or any other source. It is also the regulator's job to ensure that only stable, long-term funds that will not destabilize the markets find their way to India."

    Jayanthi Iyengar is a senior business journalist from India who writes on a range of subjects for several publications in Asia, Britain and the United States. She can be contacted at jayanthiiyengar1@hotmail.com .

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  • Dec 17, 2004
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